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We’re diving into the latest market update for Orange County, specifically focusing on Orlando, Florida. I’m an expert in the Central Florida real estate market. With over 20 years of experience and nearly 4,000 successful transactions, I’m committed to providing you with honest, data-driven insights. Whether you’re looking to buy or sell in areas like St. Cloud, Winter Garden, Longwood, or anywhere in Seminole, Lake, or Osceola County, this channel is your go-to resource.
The active inventory in Orlando and Orange County has seen significant changes over the years. Historically, the market fluctuated between 3,600 to 4,000 units before the COVID-19 pandemic. During the pandemic, inventory levels plummeted to a low of 960 units. As of today, the active inventory stands at 2,740 units. This rise in inventory indicates a shift, with more sellers listing their properties while the number of buyers decreases due to affordability issues.
Next, let’s examine the median sale price in Orlando. Since 2017, the median sale price has steadily increased and is currently at $445,000, representing a 7% rise from last year. While some areas in Florida are experiencing flat or declining prices, Orlando’s market remains relatively stable, showing a consistent upward trend.
Pending sales are a crucial indicator of future market activity. In May, pending sales were down by almost 9%, continuing a downward trend that has persisted throughout the year. This consistent decline suggests that the number of homes set to close in the future is decreasing, which could lead to higher inventory levels if the trend continues.
There has been a notable increase in new listings recently. For the past two years, the number of new listings each month rarely exceeded 2,000. However, in the last three months, this number has consistently been above 2,000. This surge in new listings could be attributed to various factors, such as rising ownership costs and changing market conditions. Despite historically low mortgage rates, other expenses like property taxes, insurance, and HOA fees may be prompting more owners to sell.
The months of supply metric is a vital indicator of market health. Currently, Orange County has 3.2 months of supply. While this is the highest it has been in recent years, it is still relatively low compared to the rest of Florida, which averages around 5.2 months. Historically, Orange County rarely exceeds three months of supply, indicating a gradual shift towards a buyer’s market.
Closed sales in the Orlando market have been lower than pre-pandemic levels. Previously, the market averaged around 1,800 monthly sales. Since August 2022, this number has consistently been below 1,800. This trend mirrors national patterns, where the housing market saw a 30-year low in closed sales last year.
The median list price has been declining year-over-year for the past four months. In June 2024, the median asking price was $455,000, down from $497,000 the previous year. This steady decline in asking prices could foreshadow future decreases in sale prices. Sellers need to be strategic and proactive in pricing their homes to stay ahead of market trends.
The data indicates that Orlando’s real estate market is experiencing some shifts. Sellers need to be aware of these trends to remain competitive. If you’re considering selling your home, it’s crucial to understand these dynamics and price your property accordingly. For buyers, this could mean more opportunities and negotiating power in the coming months.
As a top real estate agent with nearly 4,000 homes sold and over 20 years of experience in the Florida real estate market, I have the expertise needed to help you navigate today’s evolving landscape. Whether you’re looking to buy or sell, my deep understanding of market trends and personalized approach will provide you with the insights and strategies required for success.
If you’re ready to make a move in Florida’s real estate market, don’t hesitate to reach out. Contact Jared Jones at 407-706-5000 (call or text) or email info@jaredjones.com for professional guidance and personalized service that will help you achieve your real estate goals.