Introduction
A lot of folks just wanna hear about the data, they just want an update. They wanna know how is this county doing? How is the zip code that I’m in? And a lot of times I will start the narrative for the area that I’m talking about with some macroeconomic data or some updates on what’s going on in the greater economy because those things affect where you live. And I gotta tell you folks, there’s some interesting things breaking out. And today we’re gonna focus on an area north of the Orlando Metro. Some of the areas on the south side of the county of Volusia, which is what we’re talking about today, are actually very much a part of the Orlando Metro area. Specifically when you’re talking about Deltona and DeLand. And many of you, Orlandos, you would say, you know what?
We don’t claim you Volusia County people. You are not a part of the greater four county area, which makes up Orlando. We do not count you as us. But I have to tell you, through the exploding home prices over the past five years, many people who work in Longwood, north Orlando, Lake Mary, Heathrow, many of those locations becoming far too expensive, pushed people to then take the 20 minute drive just north to where they find themselves in South Volusia in Volusia County.
My friends, I get more requests for updates as of late, people just beating down my door in any way possible saying, Jared, you gotta tell us what’s going on. So back to the point I’m making as I open this video. What is leading headlines today? Well, there’s a lot of corporations that are struggling. In just the past week, Disney CFO just came out and said, surprise, we are starting to see that park attendance through summer is starting to look bad. We’re gonna have some weak numbers in a third quarter. Fast forward to last week, then all of a sudden we saw Airbnb’s stock absolutely crumble. Might I add completely unconnected to the Disney point I’m making? But in some ways they are connected. Now Airbnb is having a problem because they’re showing that there are signs of weakness and their earnings.
They’re saying that people just can’t afford the luxury of renting our places. And that demand for Airbnb all across the US is cratering. And so their stock plummeted. Now if we’re talking about Volusia County, Jared, why should I care? Because you have to understand Florida is leading the nation in negative real estate data. What I’m saying is our inventory is surging faster than anywhere else. Buyers are canceling in Florida at a higher number once they go under contract, which is not good for home sales price cuts and the percentage of which sellers have to reduce their price order track to buyer is starting to hit very big numbers anywhere you look throughout the state of Florida, all of which indicating that we ourselves are seeing a massive transition and a shift to a more buyer controlled market.
Long gone are the days where sellers could demand a buyer waive their appraisals and all kinds of things. Buyers now are a bit more concerned about the high cost that they will face when they purchase. Now as we speak Daytona, you have to understand that all of these costs hit very close to home in this particular market. You’d say, Jared, what do you mean? There is no doubt that as buyers are interviewed, what they consider to be the hidden cost of home ownership absolutely becomes very visible in this particular market. It’s no surprise that insurance is absolutely expensive. It’s further no surprise that if you own a home closer to the East coast, you might just experience higher coverage cost for your property. Not to mention the condo crisis, which is unfolding in Florida, where at the heart you have HOA assessments, skyrocketing, squeezing existing owners. Many of these people that own these properties in Daytona are snowbirds.
They live somewhere else. So they don’t have the homestead protection that keeps their property tax from absolute skyrocketing, which is exactly the case over the past five years as property appraisers keep pushing those numbers to help them in turn pay for the high cost of schooling children and things of that nature throughout Volusia County. Not to mention the fact that these older buildings in Daytona, the older condos, specifically ones that are over three stories high now are falling under the new laws that were changed because we had that building collapse in Miami, which is now on its own unfolding to a huge dilemma for homeowners. And that alone is pushing massive amounts of inventory of those older buildings onto the market and many buyers are stepping back and they’re not making a move on them, leaving them largely unsold. And again, all of these features are greater help in pushing clickbait stories all across the internet about how Florida’s market’s taking a dive. While it is true the market is transitioning, you have to understand that each of these areas are suffering in their own unique ways. And you might find an area that’s completely doing the opposite. And it’s with that goal that if you own a home here now or you’re considering purchasing one in the future, this channel exists.
I’m gonna do just what I’ve always done, particularly for Volusia County, which is a deep dive so that you fully understand how the marketplace here looks at this moment in time. And if you appreciate the hard work and effort I’ve gone to to bring you this update, do me a favor real quick. Drop down below, smash the thumbs up. It helped the video and I thank you for doing it.
Is Volusia County Outperforming Florida?
Alright, as I often like to do, I like to go ahead and give you an index, something to compare Volusia County to what better place than just to compare Volusia County with the entire state. So is Volusia County beating the narrative about Florida or is it doing worse? You’ll be the judge. Here we go. So here we are in Florida, we’ve got closed sales. Now this is June. This is the most recent data everybody’s gonna ask the comments. Jared, what are you pulling this data from? This is a password protected backend access to the Florida Association Realtors database. So I’m pulling you all the MLS data for the marketplace as we look at this. So we are at the top of the list. June, 2024 versus June, 2023. We are down in sales, negative 13%. We are down in cash sales, which is contributing to why this number is off.
If buyers which are unaffected by the interest rate themselves are backing away from the market in a very large number, which is almost one in five cash buyers have said, I’m not here for this market this year. That’s gonna cause a problem in sales in Florida. And an even worse problem. Look at this overall volume. If you just add up all the dollars that are sold in real estate, it is down nearly 10% against last year.
Jared, why does it matter? Because 2023 was in abysmally slow year and now we’re actually trending beneath that. Now, some key things to look at for Florida, take a look at this. And by the way, in case this doesn’t match any other data you’re looking at, you have to understand this as single family condos and townhouses. This is the whole gambit. Look at the bottom. We’re at 80% higher months of supply, months of inventory. If you stop listing all homes in Florida, how long would it take you to sell everything off about 5.4 months last year?
This time you would’ve accomplished the same thing in just three months. Now why does that matter? Well, across the country, the entire US is around three and a half months. Remember, I like to have an index. If you compare Florida as a state to the rest of the country, we are way under what the rest of the country is. Why? Because we have more unsold homes. More people are listing them, they’re going unsold. Less closings are taking place. You just saw our closings are down by like 13%, 14%. So as a result, that number of unsold homes stacks even higher. And here you have a much bigger leap in months of supply. By the way, the higher months of supply gets, you don’t need a huge active inventory supply.
You can look at active inventory and think, “Well, that’s a lot of homes for sale that are unsold, and that’s as much as we had in 2019.” But if this number gets out of hand, even if the number of homes is similar to what you saw in 2018, if people stop buying, price cuts will mount very fast. Sellers who have to sell will set new lows, which will affect the value of all the homes around them, creating new appraisal benchmarks.
Take a look at active inventory from last year. There were 96,000 units on the market, and this year, we have 165,000 unsold units. Why? Because pendings are down. Pendings are a leading indicator that sales in the future will continue to be down. Meanwhile, new listings are up. Even with more homes already on the market, people are still listing at a higher rate than they were a year ago.
Now, let’s focus on the Daytona Beach Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), which encompasses all of Volusia County. I prefer using the Daytona Beach MSA as it covers the entire region and makes it easier to analyze the data. Remember, we’re looking at all property types, just like we did when comparing with the state of Florida.
Daytona Beach Market Performance
Statewide, Florida saw a 13% drop in closed sales year-over-year. In Daytona Beach, the gap is even larger, with home sales falling by nearly 14%. Daytona Beach isn’t struggling as much to find cash buyers, as cash sales are only down by 10%, which is slightly better than the statewide performance. However, dollar volume in Daytona Beach is down by nearly 13%, compared to the 9.5% drop statewide.
When looking at months of supply, Volusia County is showing a 5.2-month supply, which is close to the statewide 5.4 months. However, last year, Daytona Beach was already softening at a faster rate than the rest of Florida, so this increase represents a 60% jump year-over-year, whereas the statewide increase was 80%. Active inventory in Daytona Beach is up 51%, while pending sales are down nearly 14%, which isn’t great. However, new listings seem to be abating a bit, with fewer homes being listed in June compared to the previous year.
The Price Trends: Median Sale Prices and Market Cooling
Let’s continue by diving deeper into the forecast for specific zip codes. You might see a mix of tan, clear, and red spots on the map, which represent the last bastions of a more neutral market. For example, in Daytona Beach, zip codes like 32118 are showing lighter shades of blue, indicating that they are adjusting more slowly than other areas. This slower adjustment is likely because the homes in these areas are more affordable compared to the coastal regions, where the income-to-home-value ratio is far more stretched.
If you move toward the denser parts of Daytona Beach, you’ll notice that these are extraordinarily buyer-controlled markets. In zip codes like 32129 and 32119, the numbers are in the upper twenties, indicating that prices are more likely to fall here than in other parts of Florida. Coastal areas like 32118 are also shifting towards a buyer’s market, though not as rapidly as some inland areas.
Now, you may ask, “Jared, why is Deltona lighter in color?” Deltona is in the range of a 38 or 39 on the buyer’s market scale, which means that while it’s a buyer’s market, it’s not shifting as quickly because the homes there are more affordable. The income levels in areas like Deltona and DeLand make these regions attractive to buyers who want to stretch their dollars further. But in coastal regions, where income levels are much lower compared to the cost of housing, you’re seeing more drastic changes as supply increases and demand decreases.
Home Value Trends in Daytona Beach
So, let’s talk about home values. If you own property in these areas, you’re likely wondering how median prices are holding up. Let’s take a closer look. Some areas, like Flagler Beach and Palm Coast, are still peaking in price, while others are starting to flatten out. For example, in zip code 32124, prices are still rising, but other areas are beginning to tip downward.
In Daytona Beach, zip code 32114, you’ll notice a flattening trend, and in some areas, like 32127, prices are actually posting declines month over month. This trend is significant because we’re in the peak moving season, a time when prices usually rise. However, in many of these areas, we’re seeing the opposite. Homes that were once selling for more are now trading for less, and sellers are finding it harder to maintain their asking prices.
If you zoom out and look at the broader trends, you’ll see that many of these areas have peaked and are now starting to decline. Even in Deltona, which has been more stable, prices are flattening out. This flattening is not typical for moving season, and it’s an indication that the market is losing momentum
What Does the Future Hold for These Markets?
As we move into the fall, we can expect further price declines in areas where inventory continues to rise and buyer demand remains low. Neutral areas that are currently clear on the map may start to turn blue as prices begin to soften. For those in lightly blue areas, you can expect prices to continue falling as we head into the slower months of the year.
For buyers, this could be an opportunity to find deals in areas that are cooling off. However, if you’re selling, it’s important to stay ahead of the curve and price your home competitively to avoid sitting on the market for too long.
In conclusion, the market is transitioning, and it’s important to stay informed about the changes happening in your area. Whether you’re buying or selling, understanding the trends in your zip code can help you make better decisions.
Best Realtor in Volusia County - Reach Out Today
If you’re ready to make a move in Florida’s real estate market, don’t hesitate to reach out. Contact Jared Jones at 407-706-5000 (call or text) or email info@jaredjones.com for professional guidance and personalized service that will help you achieve your real estate goals.
Why Choose Jared Jones?
As a top real estate agent with nearly 4,000 homes sold and over 20 years of experience in the Florida real estate market, I have the expertise needed to help you navigate today’s evolving landscape. Whether you’re looking to buy or sell, my deep understanding of market trends and personalized approach will provide you with the insights and strategies required for success.
Stay Ahead of Florida Real Estate Trends
Unlock insider knowledge and stay informed about the latest in Florida’s real estate market! Subscribe to Jared Jones’ YouTube channel for in-depth analysis, current news, and expert insights on real estate trends across the state. Plus, check out my other channel for a deeper dive into the Orlando metro area, where I explore what it’s like to live in and around these vibrant neighborhoods. Whether you’re buying, selling, or just curious about Florida real estate, my videos will keep you ahead of the curve. Hit the subscribe button and stay updated with the most relevant real estate information!
Search Volusia County Listings
Jared Jones Real Estate Team Serving All of Central Florida
- Osceola County
- Orange County
- Lake County
- Polk County
- Seminole County
- Volusia County
- Broward County
- Marion County
- Flagler County
- Brevard County
- Pinellas County
- Hillsborough County




















